To coincide with COP24 in Katowice, the Paris Process on Mobility and Climate (PPMC) has published its 2018 update entitled 'Partnership for Global Climate Action (MPGCA) Transport Initiatives: Stock-take on action toward implementation of the Paris Agreement and the 2030 Agenda on Sustainable Development. Overview of Progress - December 2018'.
Find out more at http://www.ppmc-transport.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Overview-of-Global-Climate-Action-Transport-Initiatives_Final-Version.pdf, which includes an overview of progress with the Navigating a Changing Climate initiative.
Notwithstanding that there are many innovative and often ambitious existing initiatives, OECD-ITF report that the transport sector as a whole needs to do much more to reduce CO2 emissions if the Paris goals are to be met.
Find out more at https://www.itf-oecd.org/co2-reduction-pledges
On Course Towards Carbon-Neutral Shipping?
A new policy brief from OECD-ITF sets out some insights into how the IMO's CO2 emissions targets for international shipping might be met ...
Whilst any individual event cannot be attributed to climate change, the following events in South Africa and the Mediterranean this week are nonetheless indicative of what climate scientists expect the ports' sector to see more of in the coming years:
- A gantry crane blown over and blocking the entrance to the harbour at Port Elizabeth, South Africa (see https://bit.ly/2yMajjm)
- A STS crane toppled after being hit by a vessel during a storm at the port of Barcelona, Spain (see https://bit.ly/2QcNtYY)
- Hundreds of cars in storage for export at the Port of Savona in Italy destroyed in a fire caused by a storm surge that flooded their batteries (see https://bbc.in/2AFBXzO )
A new report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) contains some stark messages. It is no longer considered that limiting warming to 2 degrees above pre-industrial levels is the ‘safe’ maximum – rather warming must be limited to 1.5 degrees if the world is to avoid the worst effects of climate change.
Climate scientists expect that we will reach 1.5 degrees of warming within just 12 years ... and the world is currently on course to a total warming of 3 degrees above pre-industrial levels. This is significantly more than many natural and human systems can tolerate without major ramifications.
The IPCC report is clear in its recommendations. Urgent action is needed on both climate change mitigation and adaptation, and the amount of mitigation needed to limit warming to 1.5 degrees goes far beyond not only what is on existing political agendas but, in some cases, beyond scientific development.
Read more at http://ipcc.ch/report/sr15/ with a summary at http://report.ipcc.ch/sr15/pdf/sr15_spm_final.pdf
Great to see climate change issues figuring prominently on the programme of the World Canals Conference being held in Ireland next week (10th - 12th September in Athlone). The first keynote, by Catherine Sheridan, is on Building Resilience: Climate, Risk, and Waterways. Lauren Small will speak later in the week on Canada’s Canals and Climate Change, and there are several other papers addressing climate-related issues such as flood risk...
If you are not attending, you can see what you are missing at http://wccireland2018.com
A new publication by the Dutch Environmental Assessment Agency provides useful, and potentially worrying, food for thought for the waterborne transport sector.
The 'Geography of Future Water Challenges' explains and illustrates the global implications of climate change for water-related disasters (floods and droughts), including anticipated increases in the frequency of extreme events.
The report can be accessed at http://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/publicaties/pbl-2018-the-geography-of-future-water-challenges-2920.pdf
The European Joint Research Centre has published two studies that identify an unprecedented coastal flood risk unless timely climate change adaptation measures are taken. The studies highlight that without such measures:
- average annual coastal flood damage in Europe could increase from just over €1billion today to between €93 billion and €961 billion by the end of the century, and
- coastal floods could impact up to 3.65 million people every year in Europe by 2100, compared to just over 100,000 today
While the reports point out that 1 in 3 EU citizens lives within 50 km of the coast, such findings obviously also have potentially significant implications for ports and coastal waterways.
More information can be found at https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/news/europe-needs-coastal-adaptation-measures-avoid-catastrophic-flooding-end-century
A paper in the journal Nature Communications describes a new mathematical model that predicts average global surface air temperature. For 2018–2022, the probabilistic forecast using this system indicates a warmer than normal period with an associated increased likelihood of intense to extreme temperatures.
The paper can be found at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-05442-8
A large proportion of the Leeds-Liverpool canal, an important recreational boating waterway, is closing - potentially for many weeks - because of drought conditions in Northern England. See https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-10835222